Friday, November 09, 2018

PREDICTIONS IN ALL CATEGORIES (91st)

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS

BEST MOTION PICTURE OF THE YEAR
A Star is Born
Roma
Green Book
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Black Panther
The Favourite
BlacKkKlansman
Vice
Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
Damien Chazelle (First Man)
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Christian Bale (Vice)
Ryan Gosling (First Man)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)
Glenn Close (The Wife)
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Viola Davis (Widows)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Timothée Chalamet (Beautiful Boy)
Sam Elliott (A Star is Born)
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Emma Stone (The Favourite)
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
Amy Adams (Vice)
Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly (Green Book)
Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara (The Favourite)
Bo Burnham (Eighth Grade)
Adam McKay (Vice)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee, based on the book by Ron Stallworth (BlacKkKlansman)
Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters (A Star is Born)
Josh Singer, based on the book by James R. Hansen (First Man)
Barry Jenkins, based on the novel by James Baldwin (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty, based on the memoir by Lee Israel (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Isle of Dogs (Wes Anderson)
Incredibles 2 (Brad Bird)
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 (Phil Johnston, Rich Moore)
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman)
Smallfoot (Karey Kirkpatrick)

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Roma (Mexico)
Cold War (Poland)
Shoplifters (Japan)
Burning (South Korea)
Capernaum (Lebanon)


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Linus Sandgren (First Man)
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
Lukasz Zal (Cold War)
Matthew Libatique (A Star is Born)
Rachel Morrison (Black Panther)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Sandy Powell (The Favourite)
Ruth E. Carter (Black Panther)
Alexandra Byrne (Mary Queen of Scots)
Sandy Powell (Mary Poppins Returns)
Colleen Atwood (Fantastic Creatures: The Crimes of Grindelwald)

BEST FILM EDITING
Tom Cross (First Man)
Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Alfonso Cuarón, Adam Gough (Roma)
Jay Cassidy (A Star is Born)
Yorgos Mavropsaridis (The Favourite)

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice
Suspiria

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Justin Hurwitz (First Man)
Marc Shaiman, Scott Whittman (Mary Poppins Returns)
Ludwig Göransson (Black Panther)
Alexandre Desplat (Isle of Dogs)
Nicholas Britell (If Beale Street Could Talk)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Shallow" (A Star is Born)
"Maybe it’s Time" (A Star is Born)
"All of the Stars" (Black Panther)
"Ashes" (Deadpool 2)
"Flower of the Universe" (A Wrinkle in Time)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton (The Favourite)
James Merifield, Gina Cromwell (Mary Queen of Scots)
John Myhre, Gordon Sim (Mary Poppins Returns)
Hannah Beachler, Jay Hart (Black Panther)
Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas (First Man)

BEST SOUND EDITING
First Man
Mission: Impossible - Fallout
Black Panther
Avengers: Infinity War
Ready Player One

BEST SOUND MIXING
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
A Star is Born
Bohemian Rhapsody
A Quiet Place

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Black Panther
Avengers: Infinity War
Ready Player One
First Man
Fantastic Creatures: Crimes of Grindelwald

Nominations Tally:
First Man - 11
A Star is Born - 11
Black Panther - 8
The Favourite - 8
If Beale Street Could Talk - 6
Roma - 6
Vice - 5
BlacKkKlansman - 4
Green Book - 4
Mary Poppins Returns - 4
Bohemian Rhapsody - 3
Can You Ever Forgive Me? - 3
Mary Queen of Scots - 3
Avengers: Infinity War - 2
Cold War 2
Fantastic Creatures: Crimes of Grindelwald - 2
Isle of Dogs - 2
Ready Player One - 2
Beautiful Boy - 1
Burning 1
Capernau1
Deadpool 2 - 1
Eighth Grade - 1
Incredibles 2 - 1
Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 1
A Quiet Place - 1
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 - 1
Shoplifters 1
Smallfoot - 1
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 1
Suspiria - 1
Widows - 1
The Wife - 1
A Wrinkle in Time - 1

TECHNICAL CATEGORIES (91st)

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1. Linus Sandgren (First Man)
2. Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
3. Lukasz Zal (Cold War)
3. Matthew Libatique (A Star is Born)
4. Rachel Morrison (Black Panther)

6. James Laxton (If Beale Street Could Talk)
7. Dion Beebe (Mary Poppins Returns)
8. Robbie Ryan (The Favourite)
9. Sayombhu Mukdeeprom (Suspiria)
10. John Mathieson (Mary Queen of Scots)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1. Sandy Powell (The Favourite)
2. Ruth E. Carter (Black Panther)
3. Alexandra Byrne (Mary Queen of Scots)
4. Sandy Powell (Mary Poppins Returns)
5. Colleen Atwood (Fantastic Creatures: The Crimes of Grindelwald)

6. Jenny Beavan (The Nutcracker and the Four Realms)
7. Mary E. Vogt (Crazy Rich Asians)
8. Marci Rodgers (BlacKkKlansman)
9. Milena Canonero (The Sisters Brothers)
10. Mary Zophres (First Man)

BEST FILM EDITING
1. Tom Cross (First Man)
2. Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders (If Beale Street Could Talk)
3. Alfonso Cuarón, Adam Gough (Roma)
4. Jay Cassidy (A Star is Born)
5. Yorgos Mavropsaridis (The Favourite)

6. Debbie Berman, Michael P. Shawver (Black Panther)
7. Hank Corwin (Vice)
8. Eddie Hamilton (Mission: Impossible - Fallout)
9. Barry Alexander Brown (BlacKkKlansman)
10. Patrick J. Don Vito (Green Book)

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
1. Mary Queen of Scots
2. Vice
3. Suspiria

4. Black Panther
5. The Favourite
6. Mary Poppins Returns
7. Bohemian Rhapsody
8. A Star is Born
9. How to Talk to Girls at Parties
10. BlacKkKlansman

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. Justin Hurwitz (First Man)
2. Marc Shaiman, Scott Whittman (Mary Poppins Returns)
3. Ludwig Göransson (Black Panther)
4. Alexandre Desplat (Isle of Dogs)
5. Nicholas Britell (If Beale Street Could Talk)

6. Michael Giacchino (Incredibles 2)
7. Thom Yorke (Suspiria)
8. Kris Bowers (Green Book)
9. Terence Blanchard (BlacKkKlansman)
10. Michel Legrand (The Other Side of the Wind)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1. "Shallow" (A Star is Born)
2. "Maybe it’s Time" (A Star is Born)
3. "All of the Stars" (Black Panther)
4. "Ashes" (Deadpool 2)
5. "Flower of the Universe" (A Wrinkle in Time)

6. (Mary Poppins Returns)
7. "I'll Fight" (RBG)
8. "Revelation" (Boy Erased)
9. "Requiem for a Private War" (A Private War)
10. "Hearts Beat Loud" (Hearts Beat Loud)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1. Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton (The Favourite)
2. James Merifield, Gina Cromwell (Mary Queen of Scots)
3. John Myhre, Gordon Sim (Mary Poppins Returns)
4. Hannah Beachler, Jay Hart (Black Panther)
5. Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas (First Man)

6. Inbal Weinberg, Christin Busse, Merissa Lombardo (Suspiria)
7. Nelson Coates, Andrew Baseman (Crazy Rich Asians)
8. Karen Murphy, Ryan Watson (A Star is Born)
9. Neil Lamont, David Crossman, Glyn Dillon (Solo: A Star Wars Story)
10. Grace Yun, Brian Lives (Hereditary)

BEST SOUND EDITING
1. First Man
2. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
3. Black Panther
4. Avengers: Infinity War
5. Ready Player One

6. Incredibles 2
7. Mortal Engines
8. Solo: A Star Wars Story
9. Pacific Rim: Uprising
10. Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom

BEST SOUND MIXING
1. First Man
2. Mary Poppins Returns
3. A Star is Born
4. Bohemian Rhapsody
5. A Quiet Place

6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
7. Black Panther
8. Suspiria
9. Isle of Dogs
10. Incredibles 2

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1. Black Panther
2. Avengers: Infinity War
3. Ready Player One
4. First Man
5. Fantastic Creatures: Crimes of Grindelwald

6. Mortal Engines
7. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
8. Solo: A Star Wars Story
9. Annihilation
10. A Wrinkle in Time

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM (91st)

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. ROMA (MEXICO)

Director: Alfonso Cuarón
Writer: Alfonso Cuarón
Producers: Nicolás Celis, Alfonso Cuarón, Gabriela Rodriguez
Cast: Yalitza Aparicio, Marina de Tavira, Diego Cortina Autrey

Plot (IMDb): A story that chronicles a year in the life of a middle-class family in Mexico City in the early 1970s.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Golden Lion, Best Film, Venice Film Festival
Nomination, People's Choice Award, Special Presentations, Toronto International Film Festival

LIKELY

2. COLD WAR (POLAND)

Director:  Pawel Pawlikowski
Writers: Pawel Pawlikowski, Janusz Glowacki
Producers: Ewa Puszczynska, Tanya Seghatchian
Cast: Joanna Kulig, Tomasz Kot, Borys Szyc

Plot (IMDb): A passionate love story between two people of different backgrounds and temperaments, who are fatefully mismatched, set against the background of the Cold War in the 1950s in Poland, Berlin, Yugoslavia and Paris.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, Palme d'Or, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, People's Choice Award, Special Presentations, Toronto International Film Festival

MAYBE

3. SHOPLIFTERS (JAPAN)

Director: Hirokazu Koreeda
Writer: Hirokazu Koreeda
Producers: ?
Cast: Kirin Kiki, Lily Franky, Sakura Andô

Plot (IMDb): A family of small-time crooks take in a child they find on the street.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Palme d'Or, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, People's Choice Award, Special Presentations, Toronto International Film Festival

POSSIBLE

4. BURNING (SOUTH KOREA)

Director: Chang-dong Lee
Writers: Jungmi Oh, Chang-dong Lee, based on the short story by Haruki Murakami
Producers: Chang-dong Lee, Gwang-hee Ok
Cast: Ah-In Yoo, Steven Yeun, Jong-seo Jeon

Plot (IMDb): Jong-su, a part-time worker, bumps into Hae-mi while delivering, who used to live in the same neighborhood. Hae-mi asks him to look after her cat while she's on a trip to Africa. When Hae-mi comes back, she introduces Ben, a mysterious guy she met in Africa, to Jong-su. One day, Ben visits Jong-su's with Hae-mi and confesses his own secret hobby.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, FIPRESCI Prize, Competition, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, Palme d'Or, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, People's Choice Award, Special Presentations, Toronto International Film Festival

5. CAPERNAUM (LEBANON)

Director: Nadine Labaki
Writers: Jihad Hojeily, Michelle Keserwany, Nadine Labaki, Khaled Mouzanar
Producers: Michel Merkt, Khaled Mouzanar
Cast: Ghida Majzoub, Kawthar Al Haddad, Boluwatife Treasure Bankole

Plot (IMDb): A politically-charged fable, featuring mostly non-professional actors, about a child who launches a lawsuit against his parents.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Jury Prize, Cannes Film Festival
Win, Prize of the Ecumenical Jury, Cannes Film Festival 
Nomination, Palme d'Or, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, People's Choice Award, Special Presentations, Toronto International Film Festival

6. Dogman (Italy)

Director: Matteo Garrone
Writers: Ugo Chiti, Matteo Garrone, Massimo Gaudioso
Producers: Paolo Del Brocco, Matteo Garrone, Jean Labadie, Jeremy Thomas
Cast: Marcello Fonte, Edoardo Pesce, Nunzia Schiano

Plot (IMDb): Marcello, a small and gentle dog groomer, finds himself involved in a dangerous relationship of subjugation with Simone, a former violent boxer who terrorizes the entire neighborhood. In an effort to reaffirm his dignity, Marcello will submit to an unexpected act of vengeance.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actor, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, Palme d'Or, Cannes Film Festival
Nomination, People's Choice Award, Special Presentations, Toronto International Film Festival

7. Girl (Belgium)

Director: Lukas Dhont
Writers: Lukas Dhont, Angelo Tijssens
Producer: Dirk Impens
Cast: Victor Polster, Arieh Worthalter, Oliver Bodart

Plot (IMDb): Lara is a 15-year-old girl, born in the body of a boy, who dreams to become a ballerina.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, FIPRESCI Prize, Un Certain Regard, Cannes Film Festival
Win, Golden Camera, Cannes Film Festival

8. The Cakemaker (Israel)

Director: Ofir Raul Graizer
Writer: Ofir Raul Graizer
Producer: Itai Tamir
Cast: Tim Kalkhof, Sarah Adler, Roy Miller

Plot (IMDb): A German pastry maker travels to Jerusalem in search of the wife and son of his dead lover.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. I Am Not a Witch (UK)

Director: Rungano Nyoni
Writer: Rungano Nyoni
Producers: Juliette Grandmont, Emily Morgan
Cast: Benfors 'Wee Do, Boyd Banda, Kalundu Banda

Plot (IMDb): Following a banal incident in her local village, 8-year old girl Shula is accused of witchcraft. After a short trial she is found guilty, taken into state custody and exiled to a witch camp. At the camp she takes part in an initiation ceremony where she is shown the rules surrounding her new life as a witch. Like the other residents, Shula is tied to a ribbon which is attached to a coil that perches on a large truck. She is told that should she ever cut the ribbon, she'll be cursed and transformed into a goat.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director or Producer, BAFTA
Nomination, Golden Camera, Cannes Film Festival

10. Signal Rock (Philippines)

Director: Chito S. Roño
Writer: Rody Vera
Producer: ?
Cast: Christian Bables, Daria Ramirez, Nanding Josef

Plot (IMDb): Intoy takes care of his parents when his sister moved out to work overseas. Since he lives in a remote area in Samar, the only way he could contact his sister is by going to strange rock formations on the island.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

October Predictions
1. Roma (Mexico)
2. Shoplifters (Japan)
3. Cold War (Poland)
4. Burning (South Korea)
5. Capernaum (Lebanon)
6. Dogman (Italy)
7. Girl (Belgium)
8. The Cakemaker (Israel)
9. I Am Not a Witch (UK)

10. Signal Rock (Philippines)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE (91st)

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. ISLE OF DOGS (23 March, Fox Searchlight Pictures)

Director: Wes Anderson
Writers: Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Kunichi Nomura, Jason Schwartzman
Producers: Wes Anderson, Jeremy Dawson, Steven Rales, Scott Rudin
Cast: Bryan Cranston, Koyu Rankin, Edward Norton, Liev Schreiber, Greta Gerwig, Tracy Walker, Bill Murray, Jeff Goldblum, Bob Balaban, Scarlett Johansson, Courtney B. Vance, Kunichi Nomura, Tilda Swinton

Plot (IMDb): Set in Japan, Isle of Dogs follows a boy's odyssey in search of his dog.

Pre-Oscars Citations:
Nomination, Golden Berlin Bear for Best Film, Berlin International Film Festival

This could end up being one of the most critically acclaimed films (animated or otherwise) of the year, though there is some controversy (silly, IMO) about the "appropriation" of Japanese culture. A nomination is a pretty sure bet, but a win would be hard because of Incredibles 2.

2. INCREDIBLES 2 (15 June, Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)

Director: Brad Bird
Writer: Brad Bird
Producers: Nicole Paradis Grindle, John Walker
Cast: Holly Hunter, Craig T. Nelson, Samuel L. Jackson, Catherine Keener, Sophia Bush, Jonathan Banks, Bob Odenkirk, Isabella Rossellini, John Ratzenberger, Brad Bird, Sarah Vowell, Huck Milner

Plot (IMDb): Bob Parr (Mr. Incredible) is left to care for Jack-Jack while Helen (Elastigirl) is out saving the world.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Finally, the long-anticipated sequel of the much-loved blockbuster The Incredibles is finally upon us. It has largely wowed audiences and critics, even if it doesn't match the fervor over the first, so it can easily win this category over the less mainstream Isle of Dogs.

LIKELY

3. RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET: WRECK-IT-RALPH 2 (21 November, Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)

Directors: Phil Johnston, Rich Moore
Writers: Phil Johnston, Pamela Ribon
Producer: Clark Spencer
Cast: John C. Reilly, Sarah Silverman, Kristen Bell, Taraji P. Henson, Mandy Moore, Auli'l Cravalho, Kelly Macdonald, Allan Tudyk, Ming-Na Wen, Idina Menzel, Ed O'Neill, Jane Lynch, Anika Noni Rose, Jodi Benson

Plot (IMDb): Six years after the events of "Wreck-It Ralph," Ralph and Vanellope, now friends, discover a wi-fi router in their arcade, leading them into a new adventure.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Another sequel of another highly regarded animated film. This looks like it's going to be even more fun, and the addition of the Disney princesses may prove to be irresistible to the voters. The reviews so far aren't very strong, but the competition from the other titles is rather weak.

MAYBE

4. SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE (14 December, Columbia Pictures, Sony Pictures Releasing)

Directors: Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman
Writer: Phil Lord, based on characters created by Brian Michael Bendis, Steve Ditko, Stan Lee, Sara Pichelli
Producer: Christina Steinberg 
Cast: Shameik Moore, Mahershala Ali, Liev Schreiber, Brian Tyree Henry

Plot (IMDb): Spider-Man crosses parallel dimensions and teams up with the Spider-Men of those dimensions to stop a threat to all reality.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Why not? All things Marvel are hot now, Miles Morales brings major representation, and the trailer looks sick.

5. SMALLFOOT (28 September, Warner Bros.)

Director: Karey Kirkpatrick
Writers: Glenn Ficarra, Karey Kirkpatrick, Sergio Pablos, John Requa
Producers: Glenn Ficarra, Bonne Radford, John Requa
Cast: Zendaya, Gina Rodriguez, Channing Tatum, Common, Danny DeVito, James Corden

Plot (IMDb): A Yeti is convinced that the elusive creatures known as "humans" really do exist.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

The plot sounds like a lot of fun and probably has not-so-subtle digs at the lack of inclusivity and tolerance in today's society. It's got a pretty mean voice cast, too. Reviews and box office are not stellar but good, and in this category, that's sadly all it takes for an American production to win a nomination over more critically acclaimed foreign releases, especially with the new voting system. But watch for Mirai to get the magical GKids push and probably get maestro Mamoru Hosoda his first Oscar nomination.

6. Mirai (30 November (limited), GKids)

Director: Mamoru Hosoda
Writer: Mamoru Hosoda
Producers: Yuichi Adachi, Takuya Itô, Genki Kawamura, Yuichiro Sato
Cast: Haru Kuroki, Moka Kamishiraishi, Gen Hoshino

Plot (IMDb): A young boy encounters a magical garden which enables him to travel through time and meet his relatives from different eras, with guidance by his younger sister from the future.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Early Man (16 February, Lionsgate)

Director: Nick Park
Writers: Mark Burton, James Higginson
Producers: Richard Beek, Peter Lord, Nick Park, Carla Shelley, David Sproxton
Cast: Tom Hiddleston, Eddie Redmayne, Maisie Williams

Plot (IMDb): Set at the dawn of time, when prehistoric creatures and woolly mammoths roamed the earth, Early Man tells the story of Dug, along with sidekick Hognob as they unite his tribe against a mighty enemy Lord Nooth and his Bronze Age City to save their home.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Ruben Brandt, Collector (TBA, Sony Pictures Classics)

Director: Milorad Krstic
Writers: Milorad Krstic, Radmila Roczkov
Producers: Milorad Krstic, Janos Kurdy-Feher, Péter Miskolczi, Hermina Roczkov, Radmila Roczkov
Cast: Iván Kamarás, Gabriella Hámori, Zalán Makranczi

Plot (IMDb): A psychotherapist suffers violent nightmares inspired by legendary works of art.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. Night Is Short, Walk on Girl (22 August, Fathom Events)

Director: Masaaki Yuasa
Writer: Makoto Ueda, based on the novel by Tomihiko Morimi
Producers: Junnosuke Itô, Noriko Ozaki
Cast: Gen Hoshino, Kana Hanazawa, Hiroshi Kamiya

Plot (IMDb): The story of the titular girl known only as "Otome" and her insanely long night of partying and drinking-complete with a book fair, festival, and many adventures in between. It is also the story of "Senpai," her upper class man who has been attempting to get closer to her by "coincidentally" running into her again and again. However, on this night, meeting up with her may be the greatest challenge of his life.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (9 November, Universal Pictures)

Directors: Yarrow Cheney, Scott Mosier
Writer: Michael LeSieur, based on the book by Dr. Seuss
Producers: Christopher Melendandri, Scott Mosier
Cast: Benedict Cumberbatch

Plot (IMDb): A grumpy Grinch plots to ruin Christmas for the village of Whoville.

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Other Contenders:
Ana y Bruno
Fireworks
Have a Nice Day
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation
The Laws of the Universe – Part I
Liz and the Blue Bird
Lu over the Wall
MFKZ
Maquia: When the Promised Flower Blooms
On Happiness Road
Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero
Sherlock Gnomes
Tall Tales
Teen Titans Go! To the Movies
Tito and the Birds

"Never Too Early Predictions" (March 2018)
1. Isle of Dogs
2. Incredibles 2
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It-Ralph 2
4. The Grinch
5. Smallfoot
6. Early Man
7. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
8. Batman Nina
9. Teen Titans Go! to the Movies
10. Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero

August Predictions
1. Isle of Dogs
2. Incredibles 2
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It-Ralph 2
4. Smallfoot
5. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
6. Early Man
7. The Night is Short, Walk on Girl
8. The Grinch
9. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies
10. Mirai

September Predictions
1. Isle of Dogs
2. Incredibles 2
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It-Ralph 2
4. Smallfoot
5. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
6. Early Man
7. The Night is Short, Walk on Girl
8. The Grinch
9. Mirai
10. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies

October Predictions
1. Isle of Dogs
2. Incredibles 2
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It-Ralph 2
4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
5. Smallfoot
6. Early Man
7. The Night is Short, Walk on Girl
8. The Grinch
9. Mirai
10. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies

BEST ADAPTED SCREEPLAY (91st)

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. CHARLIE WACHTEL, DAVID RABINOWITZ, KEVIN WILLMOTT, SPIKE LEE, based on the book by Ron Stallworth (BLACKKKLANSMAN)

Oscar Records:
Wachtel: No nomination
Rabinowitz: No nomination
Willmott: No nomination
Lee: 2 nominations (as writer and for documentary feature), with an Honorary Award

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

LIKELY

2. ERIC ROTH, BRADLEY COOPER, WILL FETTERS, based on a story by William A. Wellman, Robert Carson (A STAR IS BORN)

Oscar Records:
Roth: 4 nominations (as writer), with a win for Forrest Gump
Cooper: 4 nominations (as producer, actor), no win
Fetters: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

3. JOSH SINGER, based on the book by James R. Hansen (FIRST MAN)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for writing Spotlight

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

MAYBE

4. BARRY JENKINS, based on the novel by James Baldwin (IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for writing Moonlight

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

POSSIBLE

5. NICOLE HOLOFCENER, JEFF WHITTY, based on the memoir by Lee Israel (CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?)

Oscar Records: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

6. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole, based on characters created by Stan Lee, Jack Kirby (Black Panther)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman, based on the book by Matt Bai (The Front Runner)

Oscar Records:
Bai: No nomination
Carson: No nomination
Reitman: 4 nominations (as director, writer, producer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Luke Davies, based on the memoirs by David Sheff and Nic Sheff (Beautiful Boy)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination (as writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. Joel Edgerton, based on the book by Garrard Conley (Boy Erased)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Peter Chiarelli, Adele Lim, based on the book by Kevin Kwan (Crazy Rich Asians)

Oscar Records: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Other Contenders:
Alex Garland, based on the novel by Jeff VanderMeer (Annihilation)
Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin, based on the comic book by Fabien Nury, Thierry Robin (The Death of Stalin)
Audrey Wells, based on the novel by Angie Thomas (The Hate U Give)
Andrew Haigh, based on the novel by Willy Vlautin (Lean on Pete)
Debra Granik, based on the novel by Peter Rock (Leave No Trace)
David Magee, based on the books by P.L. Travers (Mary Poppins Returns)
Beau Willimon, based on the book by John Guy (Mary Queen of Scots)
Arash Amel, based on the magazine article by Marie Brenner (A Private War)
Jacques Audiard, based on the novel by Patrick Dewitt (The Sisters Brothers)
Jane Anderson, based on the novel by Meg Wolitzer (The Wife)
Paul Dano, Zoe Kazan, based on the novel by Richard Ford (Wildlife)
Lynne Ramsay, based on the book by Jonathan Ames (You Were Never Really Here)

"Never Too Early" Predictions (March 2018)
1. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
2. Josh Singer (First Man)
3. Richard Linklater (Where'd You Go, Bernadette)
4. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
5. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
6. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
7. Brad Bird (Incredibles 2)
8. Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin (The Death of Stalin)
9. Lynne Ramsay (You Were Never Really Here)
10. Beau Willimon (Mary Queen of Scots)

August Predictions
1. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
2. Josh Singer (First Man)
3. Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
4. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
5. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
6. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
7. Eri Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters (A Star is Born)
8. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman (The Front Runner)
9. Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin (The Death of Stalin)
10. Debra Granik (Leave No Trace)

September Predictions
1. Josh Singer (First Man)
2. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
3. Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
4. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman (The Front Runner)
5. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
6. Eri Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters (A Star is Born)
7. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
8. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
9. Peter Chiarelli, Adele Lim, based on the book by Kevin Kwan (Crazy Rich Asians)
10. Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin (The Death of Stalin)

October Predictions
1. Josh Singer (First Man)
2. Eri Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters (A Star is Born)
3. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
4. Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
5. Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
6. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman (The Front Runner)
7. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
8. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
9. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
10. Peter Chiarelli, Adele Lim, based on the book by Kevin Kwan (Crazy Rich Asians)