Friday, January 13, 2017

BEST DIRECTOR 2017

Updated: 13 January 2017

ESSENTIAL LOCKS

1. DAMIEN CHAZELLE (LA LA LAND)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination as writer, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Director, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Director, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Atlanta Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Director, Boston Online Film Critics
Win, Best Director, Boston Society of Film Critics
Win, Best Director, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director - Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Direction of a Motion Picture, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Director, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Directing, Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Director, BAFTA
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

2. BARRY JENKINS (MOONLIGHT)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Independent Spirit Awards
Win, Best Director, National Board of Review
Win, Best Director, New York Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Director, New York Film Critics Online
Nomination, Best Director, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director - Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Direction of a Motion Picture, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Detroit Film Critics Society
Win, Best Director, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Win, Best Directing, Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Win, Best Director, National Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Director, BAFTA
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

3. KENNETH LONERGAN (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations as writer, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, San Diego Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Director, Boston Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Best Director, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director - Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Direction of a Motion Picture, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Director, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Director, BAFTA
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

MAYBE

4. DENIS VILLENEUVE (ARRIVAL)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Director, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Direction of a Motion Picture, Houston Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Director, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Director, BAFTA
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

POSSIBLE

5. MARTIN SCORSESE (SILENCE)

Oscar Record: 12 nominations as producer, director, writer, with a win for directing The Departed

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

6. GARTH DAVIS (LION)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film, Directors Guild of America

7. DENZEL WASHINGTON (FENCES)

Oscar Record: 6 nominations as actor, with wins for acting in Glory and Training Day

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Detroit Film Critics Society

8. DAVID MACKENZIE (HELL OR HIGH WATER)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Direction of a Motion Picture, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Director, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Director, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Director, Central Ohio Film Critics Association

9. PABLO LARRAÍN (JACKIE)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Director, Chicago Film Critics Association

10. MEL GIBSON (HACKSAW RIDGE)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations as producer and director, with wins for producing and directing Braveheart

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Director, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Director - Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Director, Phoenix Film Critics Society


Other Contenders:
Nate Parker (The Birth of a Nation)
Jeff Nichols (Loving) - Nomination, Best Director, Independent Spirit Awards; Nomination, Best Director, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Tom Ford (Nocturnal Animals)
Warren Beatty (Rules Don't Apply)
Clint Eastwood (Sully)

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

89th Academy Award Predictions (summary)

Updated: 11 January 2017

PICTURE
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Fences
Hell or High Water
Arrival
Lion
Hacksaw Ridge
Silence
Loving

DIRECTING
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)
Martin Scorsese (Silence)

PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic)

PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Amy Adams (Arrival)
Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Hugh Grant (Florence Foster Jenkins)

PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Viola Davis (Fences)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
Eric Heisserer, based on the short story by Ted Chiang (Arrival)
August Wilson, based on his play (Fences)
Jeff Nichols, based on the documentary by Nancy Buirski (Loving)
Barry Jenkins, based on the play by Tarell Alvin McCraney (Moonlight)
Jay Cocks, based on the novel by Shûsaku Endô (Silence)

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
Taylor Sheridan (Hell or High Water)
Noah Oppenheim (Jackie)
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou (The Lobster)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)

ANIMATED FEATURE
Andrew Stanton, Angus MacLane (Finding Dory)
Travis Knight (Kubo and the Two Strings)
Ron Clements, John Musker (Moana)
Makoto Shinkai (Your Name.)
Byron Howard, Rich Moore (Zootopia)

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Toni Erdmann (Germany)
The Salesman (Iran)
Paradise (Russia)
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
My Life as a Courgette (Switzerland)

ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY
Bradford Young (Arrival)
Stéphane Fontaine (Jackie)
Linus Sandgren (La La Land)
Caleb Deschanel (Rules Don't Apply)
Rodrigo Prieto (Silence)

ACHIEVEMENT IN COSTUME DESIGN
Colleen Atwood (Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them)
Madeline Fontaine (Jackie)
Mary Zophres (La La Land)
Albert Wolsky (Rules Don't Apply)
Sandy Powell (Silence)

ACHIEVEMENT IN FILM EDITING
John Gilbert (Hacksaw Ridge)
Tom Cross (La La Land)
Jennifer Lame (Manchester by the Sea)
Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders (Moonlight)
Ruy Diaz, Thelma Schoonmaker (Silence)

ACHIEVEMENT IN MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Florence Foster Jenkins
Star Trek Beyond
Suicide Squad

ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
Mica Levi (Jackie)
Justin Hurwitz (La La Land)
Opetaia Foa'i, Mark Mancina, Lin-Manuel Miranda (Moana)
Nicholas Britell (Moonlight)
Michael Giacchino (Rogue One: A Star Wars Story)

ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
"Audition: The Fools Who Dream" (La La Land)
"City of Stars" (La La Land)
"How Far I'll Go" (Moana)
"We Know the Way" (Moana
"Try Everything" (Zootopia)

ACHIEVEMENT IN PRODUCTION DESIGN
Stuart Craig, James Hambidge (Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them)
Jean Rabasse (Jackie)
David Wasco (La La Land)
Guy Hendrix Dyas (Passengers)
Dante Ferretti (Silence)

ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND EDITING
Doctor Strange
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND MIXING
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Moana
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence

ACHIEVEMENT IN VISUAL EFFECTS
Captain America: Civil War
Doctor Strange
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 2017

Updated: 10 January 2017

ESSENTIAL LOCK

1. MAHERSHALA ALI (MOONLIGHT)

Role: Juan, a drug dealer who acts as a surrogate father to a young gay black man

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Supporting Actor, New York Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Atlanta Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Boston Online Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Boston Society of Film Critics
Win, Best Supporting Actor, New York Film Critics Online
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Toronto Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor (Male), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, National Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Supporting Actor, BAFTA

Give it to him already. His win is almost certain at this point. Despite a short appearance in the film, it's sufficiently warm and dramatic. His three SAG nominations this year put him on top of that race and likely everything else from hereon.

LIKELY

2. JEFF BRIDGES (HELL OR HIGH WATER)

Role: Marcus Hamilton, a Texas Ranger searching for two bank robber brothers

Oscar Record: 6 nominations, with a win for Crazy Heart

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Supporting Actor, National Board of Review
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Supporting Actor, BAFTA

The always great Jeff Bridges is aces once again as an about-to-retire Texas ranger who goes on a hunt for thieving brothers. He's gruff and earnest and, in certain key moments, vulnerable. It's the type of performance that the Academy loves honoring, especially from one of their favorites. The actors have given him campaign a big boost with that SAG nod.

3. DEV PATEL (LION)

Role: Saroo Brierly, a young Indian man adopted by an Australian family and searching for his real family

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Supporting Actor, BAFTA

Critics are all abuzz about Dev Patel's stirring performance in the film Lion, which given its quality and the backing by Harvey Weinstein is likely a major player. It would certainly add diversity to the line-up of nominees, and Patel still has residual goodwill from his endearing performance in Slumdog Millionaire. The switch to a campaign in the supporting category may have done him much good, though many may call it category fraud. Still, the SAG agrees with the placement. It's a big nomination (though they nominated him for Slumdog before without that crossing over to Oscar).

MAYBE

4. LUCAS HEDGES (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

Role: Patrick Chandler, a boy who loses his father and gets his estranged uncle as his legal guardian

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Male, Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association

Lucas Hedges has been getting a lot of praise from critics and audiences. He's probably a very likely bet for at least a nomination even if he's quite young for Oscar, especially in this relatively weak and unpredictable category. That SAG nom is a big boost after the snub from the HFPA.

POSSIBLE

5. HUGH GRANT (FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS)

Role: St. Clair Bayfield, British stage actor and life partner of operatic singer Florence Foster Jenkins

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical, Golden Globes
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Supporting Actor, BAFTA

It's not too crazy that Hugh Grant does not have a single Oscar nomination to his name considering his past roles, but wouldn't it be awesome for him to finally get one? And it would be richly deserved, as he is amazingly charming and touching in this film. Never better. Apparently, SAG did not forget despite the early release date, giving him a much-needed nom. The Globes nominated him in the lead actor category (which is where he should be).

6. AARON TAYLOR-JOHNSON (NOCTURNAL ANIMALS)

Role: Ray Marcus, leader of a gang that kidnaps a woman and her daughter in a story

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Supporting Actor, BAFTA

7. MICHAEL SHANNON (NOCTURNAL ANIMALS)

Role: Detective Bobby Andes, who investigates a case of abduction in a story

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor, Las Vegas Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association

8. BEN FOSTER (HELL OR HIGH WATER)

Role: Tanner Howard, an ex-con who goes on a bank robbing spree with his brother

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Male, Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association

9. ISSEI OGATA (SILENCE)

Role: Inoue Masashige, a persecutor of Christians in Japan during the Edo Period

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor, Los Angeles Film Critics Association

10. RALPH FIENNES (A BIGGER SPLASH)

Role: Harry, an old friend whose visit wreaks havoc on a couple's romance

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle


Other Contenders:
John Goodman (10 Cloverfield Lane) - Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Andre Holland (Moonlight) - Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Liam Neeson (Silence)
Trevante Rhodes (Moonlight) - Nomination, Best Supporting Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 2017

Updated: 11 January 2017

ESSENTIAL LOCKS

1. VIOLA DAVIS (FENCES)

Role: Rose Maxson, wife of a former baseball player struggling to provide for his family

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Supporting Actress, New York Film Critics Online
Win, Best Supporting Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Las Vegas Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actor (Female), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Supporting Actress, BAFTA

It's her category to lose now that she has officially been campaigned in this category and many of the precursors have followed suit. General consensus is she's overdue. Her recent appearances, including getting her star on the Walk of Fame and introducing Meryl Streep with a strong, fiery speech of her own, certainly helped remind voters of her brilliance. Sorry, Michelle Williams. There IS still a small chance that the voters might still decide to place her in the lead category, though.

2. MICHELLE WILLIAMS (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

Role: Randi, ex-wife of a man who is forced by circumstances to return to his hometown

Oscar Record: 3 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Supporting Actress, New York Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actress, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Boston Online Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Toronto Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor (Female), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, National Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Supporting Actress, BAFTA

With three nominations to her name, Michelle Williams is much liked by the Academy. She has only a short screentime in this film, but it's said that she makes very good use of it and packs a punch. Many can argue that she's also overdue a win, but it's tough to argue that with Davis in the mix. Plus, Williams has the Janis Joplin biopic in a few years. 

MOST LIKELY

3. NAOMIE HARRIS (MOONLIGHT)

Role: Paula, a crack addict who's the mother of a black gay man

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Supporting Actress, National Board of Review
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actress, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actor (Female), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Supporting Actress, BAFTA

The film is receiving very very positive reviews and will probably be a major player given its themes and the general love. Naomie Harris has the type of scene-chewing role that Oscar loves. The precursors, including the Golden Globes and SAG, agree.

LIKELY

4. NICOLE KIDMAN (LION)

Role: Sue Brierley, adoptive mother to an Indian boy seeking his past

Oscar Record: 3 nominations, with a win for The Hours

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Supporting Actress, BAFTA

If the film catches on and Harvey Weinstein's very vocal campaigning works, Nicole Kidman might get a fourth nomination (and it's a wonder why this excellent actress has only three at this point). The role is definitely Oscar fodder: an adoptive mother who's torn between keeping her family together and allowing her son to explore his true parentage. The tears are sure to come with scenes involving her character. The HFPA and SAG have both gifted her with affirming nods, though Kidman has been nominated by SAG and then subsequently snubbed by the Academy at least twice before.

POSSIBLE

5. OCTAVIA SPENCER (HIDDEN FIGURES)

Role: Dorothy Vaughan, one of the team of black female mathematicians who helped NASA win the space race

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for The Help

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle

The film is getting too big to ignore, what with that SAG ensemble nomination. It IS an important film especially in this time period. And the actors love Octavia Spencer. It would not be a surprise AT ALL seeing her nominated again.

6. GRETA GERWIG (20TH CENTURY WOMEN)

Role: Abbie, an art photographer

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle

7. JANELLE MONÁE (HIDDEN FIGURES)

Role: Mary Jackson, one of the team of black female mathematicians who helped NASA win the space race

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association

8. LILY GLADSTONE (CERTAIN WOMEN)

Role: Jamie, a ranch hand living in isolation until she stumbles upon a law class

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Atlanta Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Boston Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association

9. FELICITY JONES (A MONSTER CALLS)

Role: Conor's Mother, who has a terminal illness but is helping her son the best she can

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society

10. MOLLY SHANNON (OTHER PEOPLE)

Role: Joanne, the dying mother of a struggling comedy writer

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Supporting Female, Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association


Other Contenders:
Elle Fanning (20th Century Women) - Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Lupita Nyong'o (Queen of Katwe) - Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association

BEST ACTOR 2017

Updated: 11 January 2017

ESSENTIAL LOCKS

1. CASEY AFFLECK (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

Role: Lee Chandler, a man forced to return to his hometown to become the legal guardian of his nephew

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actor, Gotham Awards
Nomination, Best Male Lead, Independent Spirit Awards
Win, Best Actor, National Board of Review
Win, Best Actor, New York Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Actor, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actor, Atlanta Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actor, Boston Online Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actor, Boston Society of Film Critics
Win, Best Actor, New York Film Critics Online
Win, Best Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Performance by an Actor in Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actor, Las Vegas Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actor, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Win, Best Lead Actor (Male), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actor, National Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Leading Actor, BAFTA

It's not everyday that an actor receives "career-best performance" notices. And Casey Affleck is no slouch, having turned in some great performances in the past. The film's expected to be a major Oscar player, so he's a very likely nominee and a solid contender for the win. He's been winning a slew of precursor awards so far, including the NYFCC and the Golden Globes. The controversies about his personal life don't seem to be hurting him at all.

2. DENZEL WASHINGTON (FENCES)

Role: Troy Maxson, a former baseball player and now a waste collector struggling to provide for his family

Oscar Record: 6 nominations, with wins for Glory and Training Day

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Actor, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association

Denzel Washington is one of Hollywood's most respected actors, and this role won him a Tony when he played it on the stage. Plays don't always carry over well to cinema, but if this one does, Washington is a surefire nominee and also a strong contender for the win. He's an actor's actor (as evidenced by the SAG nomination for him and his whole ensemble). Where's the BAFTA nomination, though?

MOST LIKELY

3. RYAN GOSLING (LA LA LAND)

Role: Sebastian, a Los Angeles jazz musician

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Win, Best Performance by an Actor in Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Leading Actor, BAFTA

Men have historically found it more difficult to break through into Oscar glory for a musical. And while the film is being praised to high heavens and his performance is getting good ink (and the chemisty between him and Emma Stone is said to be perfect), it's Stone who's getting the lion's share of hallelujahs and Oscar buzz. Still, it's difficult to imagine a scenario where only Stone gets nominated. The precursors, including the Golden Globes, SAG, and BAFTA, have given him the much-needed boost.

LIKELY

4. ANDREW GARFIELD (HACKSAW RIDGE)

Role: Desmond Doss, a World War II American Army medic who becomes the first Medal of Honor winner without firing a shot

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Nomination, Leading Actor, BAFTA

The original expectation was that Andrew Garfield would become a strong contender for Silence, but that film has been, well, silent in terms of precursor awards while Hacksaw Ridge has been very loud, and that includes several key nominations for Garfield's performance here. That SAG and BAFTA nominations are BIG ones.

POSSIBLE

5. VIGGO MORTENSEN (CAPTAIN FANTASTIC)

Role: Ben Cash, the patriarch of a family that needs to reintegrate into society after a long isolation

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Male Lead, Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Leading Actor, BAFTA

I was resisting this nomination for the longest time in favor of Tom Hanks. But Viggo Mortensen has sustained the buzz that he got very early on and has gotten nominations from the Golden Globes, SAG, and BAFTA. That's too many and too important to keep on ignoring.

6. TOM HANKS (SULLY)

Role: Chesley "Sully" Sullenberger, the pilot who gets embroiled in controversy after doing an emergency landing in the Hudson River

Oscar Record: 5 nominations, with wins for Philadelphia and Forrest Gump

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association

The Academy has had at least three opportunities to reward Tom Hanks with a sixth nomination in the last few years, his exceptional turn in Captain Phillips being one of them. He got rave reviews again for Sully. It might be enough to bring this beloved icon back to the Oscar race. I'm still not counting him out despite the SAG snub, especially since Joel Edgerton was similarly ignored.

7. JOEL EDGERTON (LOVING)

Role: Richard Loving, one half of an interracial couple being persecuted by the law and society

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actor, Gotham Awards
Nomination, Best Actor, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actor, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actor, Boston Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Best Actor, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Actor, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actor, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Lead Actor (Male), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, Florida Film Critics Circle

8. ANDREW GARFIELD (SILENCE)

Role: Father Sebastião Rodrigues, a Jesuit priest persecuted in Japan

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

9. ADAM DRIVER (PATERSON)

Role: Paterson, a bus driver who observes people and writes poetry

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actor, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor (Male), San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actor, Toronto Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association

10. COLIN FARRELL (THE LOBSTER)

Role: David, who must find a romantic partner in a hotel or be turned into a lobster

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actor, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actor in Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Actor, Central Ohio Film Critics Association


Other Contenders:
Warren Beatty (Rules Don't Apply)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Nocturnal Animals) - Nomination, Leading Actor, BAFTA

BEST ACTRESS 2017

Updated: 11 January 2017

ESSENTIAL LOCKS

1. EMMA STONE (LA LA LAND)

Role: Mia, an aspiring actress in Los Angeles

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Volpi Cup for Best Actress, Venice Film Festival
Nomination, Best Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Lead Actor (Female), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Leading Actress, BAFTA

Emma Stone is America's Sweetheart, with one nomination already under her belt. But this is her true breakthrough performance for awards consideration, according to the same critics who have rained lavish praise on the film. Though it does not often translate to an Oscar win, the win in Venice is BIG. That win and her speech in the Golden Globes may have sealed the deal.

2. NATALIE PORTMAN (JACKIE)

Role: Jacqueline Bouvier Kennedy

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, with a win for Black Swan

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actress, Gotham Awards
Nomination, Best Female Lead, Independent Spirit Awards
Win, Best Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Las Vegas Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actress, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Leading Actress, BAFTA

The adjectives "astonishing" and "spectacular" don't get thrown around so easily when it comes to performances (unless you're Meryl Streep or Cate Blanchett, I suppose), but those are the very words that have been used to describe Natalie Portman's perf as Jackie Kennedy. Some even say it tops her Oscar-winning turn in Black Swan.

LIKELY

3. AMY ADAMS (ARRIVAL)

Role: Louise Banks, a linguist called in to communicate with an alien species

Oscar Record: 5 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actress, National Board of Review
Nomination, Best Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Leading Actress, BAFTA

Amy Adams is almost a default nominee (her fellow actors love her), so if anyone can get nominated for a science fiction performance, then it's her. Reviews for both the film and her perf have been highly positive. Though the NBR doesn't often align with the Oscars, it's still a big win. The precursors are all nominating her.

POSSIBLE

4. ISABELLE HUPPERT (ELLE)

Role: Michèle LeBlanc, a businesswoman assaulted in her home and out for revenge

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actress, Gotham Awards
Nomination, Best Female Lead, Independent Spirit Awards
Win, Best Actress, New York Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, Boston Online Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Boston Society of Film Critics
Win, Best Actress, New York Film Critics Online
Win, Best Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, National Society of Film Critics

It's almost criminal that cinema legend Isabelle Huppert does not have single Oscar nomination. That might change this year, as she has a killer role that's winning top awards so far that even Charlotte Rampling and Marion Cotillard did not get last year and the year before that, respectively, including the Golden Globes in a huge upset over Portman (and at a perfect time, too). The critics are rallying behind her, and so did the HFPA (which didn't even nominate Rampling and Cotillard). The SAG, quite predictably, didn't nominate her though.

5. MERYL STREEP (FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS)

Role: Florence Foster Jenkins, a New York heiress and opera singer with little actual singing talent

Oscar Record: 19 nominations, with wins for Kramer vs. Kramer, Sophie's Choice, The Iron Lady

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical, Golden Globes
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Leading Actress, BAFTA

The Golden Globes were her ticket to a 20th nomination, what with that awesome tribute, the visual reminder of her excellence, and that great speech.

6. ANNETTE BENING (20TH CENTURY WOMEN)

Role: Dorothea Fields, a single mother trying to teach her teenage son about freedom and love

Oscar Record: 4 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actress, Gotham Awards
Nomination, Best Female Lead, Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Atlanta Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle

7. RUTH NEGGA (LOVING)

Role: Mildred Loving, half of an interracial couple embroiled in legal and social woes

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actress, Gotham Awards
Nomination, Best Female Lead, Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Actress in a Leading Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Runner-up, Best Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Actress, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Lead Actor (Female), Utah Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle

8. EMILY BLUNT (THE GIRL ON THE TRAIN)

Role: Rachel, a divorcee who becomes involved in a missing persons case after witnessing something peculiar

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Leading Actress, BAFTA

9. VIOLA DAVIS (FENCES)

Role: Rose Maxson, wife of a former baseball player struggling to provide for his family

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Supporting Actress, New York Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Critics' Choice Awards
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Washington DC Area Film Critics Association
Runner-up, Best Supporting Actress, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Supporting Actor (Female), San Diego Film Critics Society
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Boston Online Film Critics Association
Win, Best Supporting Actress, Toronto Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association
Win, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture, Golden Globes
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role, Houston Film Critics Society
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Phoenix Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Supporting Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Nomination, Best Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Nomination, Supporting Actress, BAFTA

10. JESSICA CHASTAIN (MISS SLOANE)

Role: Elizabeth Sloane, a ruthless political strategist who is pit against the gun lobby

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama, Golden Globes


Other Contenders:
Amy Adams (Nocturnal Animals)
Rebecca Hall (Christine) - Runner-up, Best Actress, Los Angeles Film Critics Association; Nomination, Best Actress, Chicago Film Critics Association; Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role, Houston Film Critics Society; Nomination, Best Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society; Nomination, Best Actress, Central Ohio Film Critics Association
Taraji P. Henson (Hidden Figures)