LIKELY
1. THE MONUMENTS MEN (Columbia Pictures, 18 December 2013)
Producers: George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Director: George Clooney
Writers: George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Cast: Matt Damon, George Clooney, Cate Blanchett, Bill Murray, John Goodman, Jean Dujardin
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Art historians and museum curators attempt to save works of art from the Nazis. With George Clooney directing, writing, and producing (along with constant collaborator Grant Heslov), and the plot being what it is (on top of being a true-to-life story), this is the most Oscar-friendly film on paper.
2. AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY (The Weinstein Company, 8 November 2013)
Producers: George Clooney, Jean Doumanian, Grant Heslov, Steve Traxler, Harvey Weinstein
Director: John Wells
Writer: Tracy Letts
Cast: Meryl Streep, Julia Roberts, Ewan McGregor, Benedict Cumberbatch, Abigail Breslin, Juliette Lewis, Dermot Mulroney, Chris Cooper, Sam Shepard, Margo Martindale
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
A dysfunctional family is brought together by their matriarch's ailing health over the course of several weeks in August. Meryl Streep headlines as the matriarch, and Julia Roberts is her eldest daughter. Director John Wells is known more as a television director, but with that principal cast and George Clooney, Grant Heslov, and Harvey Weinstein among the producers, and the source material being a critically acclaimed play, the film has to be terrible on so many levels to not gain at least some traction in the race.
MAYBE
3. CAPTAIN PHILLIPS (Columbia Pictures, 11 October 2013)
Producers: Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca, Scott Rudin
Director: Paul Greengrass
Writer: Billy Ray
Cast: Tom Hanks, Catherine Keener
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Captain Richard Phillips deals with Somali pirates hijacking his American cargo ship. Paul Greengrass has proven with his Oscar-nominated work in United 93 that he can handle such tense, true-to-life thrillers. Having Hanks as actor and Rudin as producer onboard are pluses.
4. INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS (CBS Films, TBA 2013)
*Formerly #7
Producers: Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Scott Rudin
Directors: Ethan Coen, Joel Coen
Writers: Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Cast: Oscar Isaac, Carey Mulligan, Justin Timberlake, Garrett Hedlund
Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Palm d'Or, Cannes Film Festival
Win, Grand Prize of the Jury, Cannes Film Festival
Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Palm d'Or, Cannes Film Festival
Win, Grand Prize of the Jury, Cannes Film Festival
A musician explores the New York folk music scene in the 1960s. One can never discount the Coen brothers, no matter how simple the plot sounds. This could be a small charmer, especially with another collaboration with T Bone Burnett on the music.
5. FOXCATCHER (Columbia Pictures, TBA 2013)
*Formerly #4
Producers: Anthony Bregman, Megan Ellison, Bennett Miller
Director: Bennett Miller
Writers: E. Max Frye, Dan Futterman
Cast: Channing Tatum, Steve Carell, Sienna Miller, Mark Ruffalo, Anthony Michael Hall, Vanessa Redgrave
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
A multimillionaire ornithologist, who is also a paranoid schizophrenic, murders his friend, an Olympic wrestler. While this may look more like a possible acting showcase for Steve Carell, Bennett Miller isn't to be underestimated, with one directing nomination under his belt and his two recent films (Capote and Moneyball) having been major Oscar contenders.
6. GRAVITY (Universal Pictures, 4 October 2013)
*Formerly #10
Producers: Alfonso Cuaron, David Heyman
Director: Alfonso Cuaron
Writers: Alfonso Cuaron, Jonas Cuaron
Cast: Sandra Bullock, George Clooney
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Astronauts try to get back home to Earth after being stranded in space. It's essentially a one-woman show for Sandra Bullock in what could prove to be a claustrophobic masterpiece. One can expect no less from the astounding Alfonso Cuaron.
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Astronauts try to get back home to Earth after being stranded in space. It's essentially a one-woman show for Sandra Bullock in what could prove to be a claustrophobic masterpiece. One can expect no less from the astounding Alfonso Cuaron.
7. THE WOLF OF WALL STREET (Paramount Pictures, 15 November 2013)
*Formerly #6
Producers: Riza Aziz, Leonardo DiCaprio, Joey McFarland, Martin Scorsese, Emma Tillinger Koskoff
Director: Martin Scorsese
Writer: Terence Winter
Cast: Leonardo DiCaprio, Jonah Hill, Matthew McConaughey, Jon Bernthal, Kyle Chandler, Jon Favreau, Julie Andrews
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
8. AMERICAN HUSTLE (Columbia Pictures, 25 December 2013)
*Formerly unranked
Producers: Megan Ellison, Charles Roven, Richard Suckle
Director: David O. Russell
Writers: David O. Russell, Eric Singer
Cast: Christian Bale, Amy Adams, Bradley Cooper, Jennifer Lawrence, Jeremy Renner, Robert De Niro
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
David O. Russell has been on quite a roll lately with The Fighter and Silver Linings Playbook, films that won Christian Bale and Jennifer Lawrence Oscar wins and Amy Adams and Bradley Cooper nominations. This film stars all four, plus Jeremy Renner and Robert De Niro. Too much of a good thing, or will this be the vehicle that wins O. Russell his Oscar?
POSSIBLE
9. THE COUNSELOR (Twentieth Century Fox Film Corporation, 15 November 2013)
*Formerly #5
Producers: Cormac McCarthy, Paula Mae Schwartz, Steve Schwartz, Ridley Scott, Nick Wechsler
Director: Ridley Scott
Writer: Cormac McCarthy
Cast: Michael Fassbender, Brad Pitt, Javier Bardem, Penelope Cruz, Cameron Diaz
Pre-Oscar Citations: None
A lawyer's life turns upside down when he becomes involved in drug trafficking. From the crew to the cast, the film is huge. Cormac McCarthy is a brilliant writer, Ridley Scott is an awesome multi-nominated director, and the film has an intriguing premise. Add to that this cast, with Michael Fassbender possibly getting his first Oscar nomination, and this might be one of the best films of the year.
10 comments:
Hey Ron,
Your list totally matches mine, for the first six any way.
goog job.
I like the new look.
Thanks!
Why is there such a fuss for predicting the oscars for next year???
It's just a hobby, Adrian.
My ten nominees, from most likely to win to least likely:
1. Precious
2. Invictus
3. Up in the Air
4. Hurt Locker
5. Bright Star
6. An Education
7. A Serious Man
8. Nine
9. Lovely Bones
10. I don't know about who the last nominee is.
WILL WIN: Either Hurt Locker or Avatar
SHOULD WIN: Hurt Locker or Precious
SNUBBED: Invictus, Where the Wild Things Are
(You liked Antichrist that much? Ugh, that film was gross and poorly written. But great acting.)
That's very interesting --- it looks like you picked up on a very important part of the film that hasn't been addressed in my other reading regarding this film.
منتديات اكس تو داى
http://forums.x2day.com/
kooora2day
http://kooora2day.blogspot.com/
مزيكاتى
http://mazecaty.blogspot.com/
youtub2day
http://youtub2day.blogspot.com/
x2day
http://x2day.com/
you can watch all these movies on http://www.diablorojo.info
I watch them all, and the hurt locker should have won.
Avatar was nothing more that dances with wolves in space. Other were good movies but not worth best picture
OK, for 2010, I think that Harry Potter 7 Part 1 (or Part 2 for 2011!) has a bigger chance than you think. They are going to have to acknowledge the series.
Chloe is already out.
My Top 16, alphabetically:
Black Swan:
PROS: He's due, especially after the Requiem/Fountain/Wrestler snubs. Pi too. Good cast.
CONS: Well, if Requiem couldn't get nominated...
Blue Valentine:
PROS: Early buzz, Weinstein's campaigning, Gosling is due
CONS: Weinstein's campaigning, very indie
Ghost Writer:
PROS: Sympathy for Polanski.
CONS: Hatred for Polanski, early release, it's no Chinatown.
Harry Potter 7 Part 1:
PROS: Series is due for recognition, only series of 6 to be consistent (well, the last 5 Saw films were consistently bad)
CONS: There's the 2nd half, too kiddy and fantasy according to AMPAS. Never gets Visual Effects nominations.
Inception:
PROS: Nolan. And of course, DARK KNIGHT'S SNUB. ARGH. Great cast.
CONS: Very little info. Leo never wins. Nolan hasn't been nominated.
It's Kind of a Funny Story:
PROS: The source material is Academy-style funny. (Reitman-esque humor).
CONS: Cast is a bit iffy. Comedy isn't their thing. Young adult oriented, and that's a no-no.
Kids are All Right:
PROS: Bening and Moore are due, early as hell buzz, Sundance viewers loved it.
CONS: Too early buzz. Also, Brokeback.
Rabbit Hole:
PROS: Cast. The plot is the kind they love.
CONS: Naughty sounding title, very little info.
Scott Pilgrim vs The World:
PROS: Cera is a great actor, good source material.
CONS: Superbad couldn't get nominated, it's a comedy, the girlfriend reminds me of Clementine from Eternal Sunshine, which wasn't nominated. Might flop.
Shutter Island:
PROS: Scorsese and Leo.
CONS: Not a Goodfellas, Leo never wins. Early release.
Somewhere:
PROS: S. Coppola is 3 for 3. She's due.
CONS: Virgin Suicides couldn't get nominated for Screenplay, Bigelow may have won but women are still struggling. Also, little info.
Toy Story 3:
PROS: With Up + 10 slots + Pixar, it's very likely.
CONS: It's STILL animated, and other animators (Miyazaki, Disney, Dreamworks, some indie animator...) deserve a chance. Spread the love.
Twelve:
PROS: Very strong source.
CONS: They're iffy about drug movies and I want to kill whoever casted Chase Crawford.
Tree of Life:
PROS: He's due.
CONS: He can't get nominated.
True Grit:
PROS: Bridges just won and it got John Wayne an Oscar. Coen Bros are on a roll.
CONS: Remake.
Winter's Bone:
PROS: Sundance winner. Could pull a Precious.
CONS: Dark, an acting vehicle.
Cool list, thanks! As for HP7, I'm feeling slightly more confident about Part 2 (more epic), though Part 1 has a more Oscar-friendly release date (November) and a fair share of drama between the three leads. So maybe. It would certainly be fun to see it nom'd for Best Pic.
Post a Comment