Sunday, March 11, 2018





Role: Neil Armstrong, the first man on the moon

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:

One of Canada's most famous exports will play the all-American hero Neil Armstrong. Damien Chazelle directed him in La La Land to his second Oscar nomination. Can Chazelle win him his first? We all know not only how effortlessly charming Gosling can be, but also how strong and human his  portrayals are. But how much dramatic heft will this movie actually have?


Role: Dick Cheney, the 46th Vice President of the USA

Oscar Record: 3 nominations, with a win for The Fighter

Pre-Oscar Citations:

A year after Gary Oldman wins a career Oscar for his transformative turn as Winston Churchill, Christian Bale will very likely be the early frontrunner for the win by going through one of his famous body changes for a role. And this time, it's to play one of the most well known political figures in the US. It's another biopic slam dunk, though Bale of course is not overdue an Oscar the way Oldman was, and it may be too soon to reward another actor in a fatsuit playing a politician.



Role: David Sheff, whose son becomes severely addicted to meth

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:

Steve Carell has at least three Oscar movies in play, two of which are lead roles. But he is likelier to be nominated for this role of a father who struggles with his son's addiction to meth rather than for his role in The Women of Marwen, which is probably too close to the typical Carell role. Also, this film has more buzz, probably in part because many are excited to see how Carell and his onscreen son Timothée Chalamet play off each other.



Role: Jared, a preacher's son who is made to suffer through a gay conversion program

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:

It's a plum role in terms of potential dramatic heft and timeliness. And we know Lucas Hedges can act very well. It isn't only his Oscar-nominated turn in Manchester By the Sea that convinced audiences of that. Last year, he was in two Best Picture nominees, and many wanted to see him get nominated for his vulnerable turn in Lady Bird. He's also surrounded by a great supporting cast, which can always help. But of course, it's notoriously hard for someone so young to be nominated in this category, so he has to wow nearly as much as Chalamet did in Call Me By Your Name.



Role: Alonzo "Fonny" Hunt, a black man who becomes falsely accused of rape

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:

Another type that this category has not been very friendly to: the ingenue. But given the role, the socio-political climate in the US, and the film being a potential major player across the board, Stephan James could well get in if this category proves to be weak in 2018. But if Rami Malek wows as Freddie Mercury, then James would have to wait for his next breakthrough.

6. Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)

Role: Freddie Mercury, vocalist of Queen

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:

7. Steve Carell (The Women of Marwen)

Role: Mark Hogancamp, a victim of a brutal attack who recovers through an unusual therapy

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:

8. Colin Firth (The Mercy)

Role: Donald Crowhurst, an amateur sailor who attempts to circumnavigate the globe on his own

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, with a win for The King's Speech

Pre-Oscar Citations:

9. Chiwetel Ejiofor (Come Sunday)

Role: Carlton Pearson, an Evangelist preacher who is ostracized for proclaiming that there is no Hell

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:

10. Chadwick Boseman (Black Panther)

Role: T'Challa, King of Wakanda and the Black Panther

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:

Potential Major Players Currently Without Distributors (any of these can easily displace the lower-ranked contenders above once release dates are officially announced):
Javier Bardem (Everybody Knows)
Robert De Niro (The Irishman)
Zac Efron (Extremely Wicked, Shockingly Evil and Vile)
Ben Foster (Leave No Trace)
Garrett Hedlund (Burden)
Hugh Jackman (The Front Runner)
Jack O'Connell (Trial By Fire)
Seth Roge (Newsflash)
Mark Rylance (The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara)
Sam Rockwell (The Best of Enemies)

Other Contenders:
Josh Brolin (George and Tammy)
Josh Brolin (Sicario 2: Soldado)
Timothée Chalamet (A Rainy Day in New York)
John Cho (Search)
Steve Coogan (Stan and Ollie)
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate)
Ben Dickey (Blaze)
August Diehl (Radegund)
Matt Dillon (The House That Jack Built)
Peter Dinklage (I Think We're Alone Now)
Adam Driver (The Man Who Killed Don Quixote)
Rupert Everett (The Happy Prince)
Ben Foster (Leave No Trace)
Andrew Garfield (Under the Silver Lake)
Paul Giamatti (Private Life)
Josh Hamilton (Eighth Grade)
Kit Harington (The Death and Life of John F. Donovan)
Kelvin Harrison, Jr. (Monster)
Ethan Hawke (First Reformed)
John Huston (The Other Side of the Wind)
Oscar Isaac (Operation Finale)
Oleg Ivenko (The White Crow)
Rory Kinnear (Peterloo)
George MacKay (The True History of the Kelly Gang)
Matthew McConaughey (Serenity
Matthew McConaughey (White Boy Rick)
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
Alessandro Nivola (Disobedience)
Ed Oxenbould (Wildlife)
Robert Pattinson (Damsel)
Robert Pattinson (High Life)
Joaquin Phoenix (Don't Worry, He Won't Get Far on Foot)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Sisters Brothers)
Joaquin Phoenix (You Were Never Really Here)
Chris Pine (Outlaw King)
Jesse Plemons (The Bell Jar)
Charlie Plummer (Lean on Pete)
Robert Redford (Old Man and the Gun)
John C. Reilly (Stan and Ollie)
Paul Rudd (The Catcher Was a Spy)
Timothy Spall (The Party)
Lakeith Stanfield (Sorry to Bother You)
Christoph Waltz (Georgetown)
Jon David Washington (Black Klansman)


Andrew R. said...

SNUBBED: Viggo Mortensen

Juliana F. said...

Fassbender won 6 awards not 3

Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards
Best Actor – Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs

Online Film Critics Society
Best Actor – Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs

Phoenix Critics Circle
Best Actor – Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs

Best Lead Actor – Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs

Vancouver Film Critics Circle
Best Actor – Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs

Austin Film Critics Association
Best Actor - Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs