Sunday, September 02, 2018

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (91st)

SEPTEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. AMY ADAMS (BACKSEAT)

Role: Lynne Cheney, wife of Dick Cheney

Oscar Record: 5 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Putting on prostheses and playing the wife of a powerful political figure might just be the role that gets semi-regular nominee Amy Adams her first Oscar, two years after she barely missed a nomination for Arrival. She's well loved by the Academy, to be sure. A nomination is likely, at least, if the politics don't get in the way.

LIKELY

2. OLIVIA COLMAN (THE FAVOURITE)

Role: Queen Anne

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Volpi Cup, Venice Film Festival

The ever fantastic Olivia Colman has a gem of a role in her hands. Strong, acerbic, and funny: characters that director Yorgos Lanthimos is great at bringing out in his actors. This is one of the more exciting prospects in this category. According to critics in Venice, she and the film deliver, and she shines in the presence of previous Oscar winners Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz. It's now going to be a question of what category she'll be campaigned for.

3. CLAIRE FOY (FIRST MAN)

Role: Janet Shearon, first wife of Neil Armstrong

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Claire Foy's isn't a household name in cinema yet, with most of the praise going her way via her work on TV's "The Crown." But she was given strong reviews for her performance in last year's Breathe. Being the biopic that this is, and one about Neil Armstrong at that, this one's an easy call. If that trailer is any indication, she'll be doing so much more than the usual "suffering wife" schtick in this category. She's a threat to Adams, no doubt, especially given the front runner status of the film itself.

4. REGINA KING (IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK)

Role: Sharon Rivers, mother of a woman in a race to prove her fiancé's innocence

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Even before the quietly beautiful trailer of If Beale Street Could Talk came out, everyone knew that Regina King had netted an Oscar bait role. It's about time, as she's been churning out strong performances in both film and television. The right role, in what may be a huge Oscar player, may have finally come for her.

MAYBE

5. EMMA STONE (THE FAVOURITE)

Role: Abigail Masham, one of two cousins using seduction to curry favor with Queen Anne

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, with a win for La La Land

All three women are said to be amazing in this film, but more than a few write-ups have singled out Emma Stone's performance and say that it's the largest one. The role seems to be a perfect showcase for her skill in both comedy and drama. And certainly the Academy loves her. It's been two years since she won so it wouldn't be too soon to nominate her again. But could this film really land two noms when there's so much competition from other films? If Boy Erased becomes highly acclaimed, Nicole Kidman would take her spot.

POSSIBLE

6. Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased)

Role: Nancy Conley, mother of a young man who gets sent to gay conversion therapy

Oscar Record: 4 nominations, with a win for The Hours

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians)

Role: Eleanor Young, disapproving mother of rich bachelor Nick Young

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots)

Role: Queen Elizabeth I

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. Vera Farmiga (The Front Runner)

Role: Oletha "Lee" Heart, wife of disgraced senator Gary Hart

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Tilda Swinton (Suspiria)

Role: Madam Blanc, vice-directress of a dark and mysterious dance academy

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for Michael Clayton

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Potential Major Players Currently Without Distributors (any of these can easily displace the lower-ranked contenders above once release dates are officially announced):
Jennifer Aniston (Dumplin')
Gemma Arterton (Vita and Virginia)
Laura Dern (Trial By Fire)
Andrea Riseborough (Burden)
Kristen Stewart (Lizzie)
Naomi Watts (Ophelia)

Other Contenders:
Nina Arianda (Stan and Ollie)
Patricia Arquette (The Bell Jar)
Awkwafina (Crazy Rich Asians)
Kathy Bates (The Death and Life of John F. Donovan)
Kathy Bates (On the Basis of Sex)
Juliette Binoche (High Life)
Lina Cardellini (Green Book)
Kayli Carter (Private Life)
Patricia Clarkson (The Party)
Blythe Danner (What They Had)
Essie Davis (The True History of the Kelly Gang)
Adèle Exarchopoulos (The White Crow)
Taissa Farmiga (What They Had)
Mia Goth (High Life)
Rebecca Hall (A Rainy Day in New York)
Laura Harrier (BlacKkKlansman)
Anne Hathaway (Serenity)
Shirley Henderson (Stan and Ollie)
Jennifer Hudson (Monster)
Cherry Jones (The Party)
Carol Kane (The Sisters Brothers)
Zoe Kazan (New York Winter Palace)
Riley Keough (Under the Silver Lake)
Mélanie Laurent (Operation Finale)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (White Boy Rick)
Rooney Mara (Don't Worry, He Won't Get Far on Foot)
Rachel McAdams (Disobedience)
Emily Mortimer (The Party)
Maxine Peake (Peterloo)
Bel Powley (The Bell Jar)
Bel Powley (White Boy Rick)
Vanessa Redgrave (Georgetown)
Haley Lu Richardson (Operation Finale)
Susan Sarandon (The Death and Life of John F. Donovan)
Chloë Sevigny (Lean on Pete)
Amanda Seyfried (First Reformed)
Molly Shannon (Private Life)
Millicent Simmonds (A Quiet Place)
Meryl Streep (Mary Poppins Returns)
Uma Thurman (The House That Jack Built)
Maura Tierney (Beautiful Boy)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
Rachel Weisz (The Mercy)

"Never Too Early" Predictions (March 2018)
1. Cate Blanchett (Where'd You Go, Bernadette)
2. Amy Adams (Backseat)
3. Claire Foy (First Man)
4. Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots)
5. Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased)
6. Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
7. Maura Tierney (Beautiful Boy)
8. Rachel Weisz (The Mercy)
9. Saoirse Ronan (The Seagull)
10. Tilda Swinton (Suspiria)

August Predictions
1. Amy Adams (Backseat)
2. Claire Foy (First Man)
3. Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased)
4. Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
5. Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
6. Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots)
7. Tilda Swinton (Suspiria)
8. Maura Tierney (Beautiful Boy)
9. Vera Farmiga (The Front Runner)
10. Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians)

2 comments:

Andrew R. said...

WILL/SHOULD WIN: Mo'nique all the way.
SNUBBED: Melanie Laurent, Julianne Moore

Basil Alvin said...

there is no movie which made without supporting character.This is a good list and like your search.I saw many Top 10 List but i couldn't see that type of post yet.