Friday, November 09, 2018

BEST ADAPTED SCREEPLAY (91st)

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. CHARLIE WACHTEL, DAVID RABINOWITZ, KEVIN WILLMOTT, SPIKE LEE, based on the book by Ron Stallworth (BLACKKKLANSMAN)

Oscar Records:
Wachtel: No nomination
Rabinowitz: No nomination
Willmott: No nomination
Lee: 2 nominations (as writer and for documentary feature), with an Honorary Award

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

LIKELY

2. ERIC ROTH, BRADLEY COOPER, WILL FETTERS, based on a story by William A. Wellman, Robert Carson (A STAR IS BORN)

Oscar Records:
Roth: 4 nominations (as writer), with a win for Forrest Gump
Cooper: 4 nominations (as producer, actor), no win
Fetters: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

3. JOSH SINGER, based on the book by James R. Hansen (FIRST MAN)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for writing Spotlight

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

MAYBE

4. BARRY JENKINS, based on the novel by James Baldwin (IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for writing Moonlight

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

POSSIBLE

5. NICOLE HOLOFCENER, JEFF WHITTY, based on the memoir by Lee Israel (CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?)

Oscar Records: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

6. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole, based on characters created by Stan Lee, Jack Kirby (Black Panther)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman, based on the book by Matt Bai (The Front Runner)

Oscar Records:
Bai: No nomination
Carson: No nomination
Reitman: 4 nominations (as director, writer, producer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Luke Davies, based on the memoirs by David Sheff and Nic Sheff (Beautiful Boy)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination (as writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. Joel Edgerton, based on the book by Garrard Conley (Boy Erased)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Peter Chiarelli, Adele Lim, based on the book by Kevin Kwan (Crazy Rich Asians)

Oscar Records: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Other Contenders:
Alex Garland, based on the novel by Jeff VanderMeer (Annihilation)
Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin, based on the comic book by Fabien Nury, Thierry Robin (The Death of Stalin)
Audrey Wells, based on the novel by Angie Thomas (The Hate U Give)
Andrew Haigh, based on the novel by Willy Vlautin (Lean on Pete)
Debra Granik, based on the novel by Peter Rock (Leave No Trace)
David Magee, based on the books by P.L. Travers (Mary Poppins Returns)
Beau Willimon, based on the book by John Guy (Mary Queen of Scots)
Arash Amel, based on the magazine article by Marie Brenner (A Private War)
Jacques Audiard, based on the novel by Patrick Dewitt (The Sisters Brothers)
Jane Anderson, based on the novel by Meg Wolitzer (The Wife)
Paul Dano, Zoe Kazan, based on the novel by Richard Ford (Wildlife)
Lynne Ramsay, based on the book by Jonathan Ames (You Were Never Really Here)

"Never Too Early" Predictions (March 2018)
1. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
2. Josh Singer (First Man)
3. Richard Linklater (Where'd You Go, Bernadette)
4. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
5. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
6. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
7. Brad Bird (Incredibles 2)
8. Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin (The Death of Stalin)
9. Lynne Ramsay (You Were Never Really Here)
10. Beau Willimon (Mary Queen of Scots)

August Predictions
1. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
2. Josh Singer (First Man)
3. Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
4. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
5. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
6. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
7. Eri Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters (A Star is Born)
8. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman (The Front Runner)
9. Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin (The Death of Stalin)
10. Debra Granik (Leave No Trace)

September Predictions
1. Josh Singer (First Man)
2. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
3. Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
4. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman (The Front Runner)
5. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
6. Eri Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters (A Star is Born)
7. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
8. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
9. Peter Chiarelli, Adele Lim, based on the book by Kevin Kwan (Crazy Rich Asians)
10. Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin (The Death of Stalin)

October Predictions
1. Josh Singer (First Man)
2. Eri Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters (A Star is Born)
3. Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
4. Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
5. Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
6. Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman (The Front Runner)
7. Luke Davies (Beautiful Boy)
8. Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
9. Joel Edgerton (Boy Erased)
10. Peter Chiarelli, Adele Lim, based on the book by Kevin Kwan (Crazy Rich Asians)

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