Monday, March 12, 2018

BEST ADAPTED SCREEPLAY (91st)

"NEVER TOO EARLY" PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. BARRY JENKINS, based on the novel by James Baldwin (IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for writing Moonlight

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

2. JOSH SINGER, based on the book by James R. Hansen (FIRST MAN)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for writing Spotlight

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

LIKELY

3. RICHARD LINKLATER, HOLLY GENT PALMO, VINCENT PALMO JR., based on the novel by Marie Semple (WHERE'D YOU GO, BERNADETTE)

Oscar Records:
Linklater: 5 nominations (as director, writer, producer) no win
H. Palmo: No nomination
V. Palmo: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

MAYBE

4. LUKE DAVIES, based on the memoirs by David Sheff and Nic Sheff (BEAUTIFUL BOY)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination (as writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

POSSIBLE

5. RYAN COOGLER, JOE ROBERT COLE, baed on characters created by Stan Lee, Jack Kirby (BLACK PANTHER)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

6. Joel Edgerton, based on the book by Garrard Conley (Boy Erased)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Brad Bird, based on characters created by Brad Bird (Incredibles 2)

Oscar Record: 4 nominations (as writer and for animated feature), with wins for The Incredibles and Ratatouille

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Fabien Nury, Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin, based on the comic book by Fabien Nury, Thierry Robin (The Death of Stalin)

Oscar Records:
Nury: No nomination
Iannucci: 1 nomination (as writer), no win
Schneider: No nomination
Martin: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Screenplay (Adapted), BAFTA (2017)

9. Lynne Ramsay, based on the book by Jonathan Ames (You Were Never Really Here)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Beau Willimon, based on the book by John Guy (Mary Queen of Scots)

Oscar Record: 1 nomination (as writer), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Potential Major Players Currently Without Distributors (any of these can easily displace the lower-ranked contenders above once release dates are officially announced):
Kirsten Dunst, Nellie Kim, based on the novel by Sylvia Plath (The Bell Jar)
Robin Bissell, based on the book by Osha Gray Davidson (The Best of Enemies)
Isabel Coixet, based on the novel by Penelope Fitzgerald (The Bookshop)
Matt Bai, Jay Carson, Jason Reitman, based on the book by Matt Bai (The Front Runner)
Steve Zaillian, based on the book by Charles Brandt (The Irishman)
Tony Kushner, based on the novel by David I. Kertzer (The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara)
Debra Granik, based on the novel by Peter Rock (Leave No Trace)
Janece Shaffer, Colen C. Wiley, based on the novel by Walter Dean Myers (Monster)
Desiree Akhavan, Cecilia Frugiuele, based on the novel by Emily M. Danforth (The Miseducation of Cameron Post)
Geoffrey Fletcher, based on the magazine article by David Grann (Trial by Fire)

Other Contenders:
Alex Garland, based on the novel by Jeff VanderMeer (Annihilation)
Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel, Kevin Willmott, based on the book by Ron Stallworth (Black Klansman)

Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty, based on the memoir by Lee Israel (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Robert Rodat, based on the book by Nicholas Dawidoff (The Catcher Was a Spy)
Alex Ross Perry, Allison Schroeder, Tom McCarthy, based on characters created by A.A. Milne (Christopher Robin)
Sebastián Lelio, Rebecca Lenkiewicz, based on the novel by Naomi Alderman (Disobedience)
Gus Van Sant, based on the book by John Callahan (Don't Worry, He Won't Get Far on Foot)
Kristin Hahn, based on the novel by Julie Murphy (Dumplin')
Alice Johnson Boher, Sebastián Lelio, based on original characters by Sebastián Lelio (Gloria)
Andrew Haigh, based on the novel by Willy Vlautin (Lean on Pete)
Terry Gilliam Tony Grisoni, based on the novel by Miguel de Cervantes y Saavedra (The Man Who Killed Don Quixote)
David Magee, based on the books by P.L. Travers (Mary Poppins Returns)
Callie Kloves, based on the novel by Rudyard Kipling (Mowgli)
Ian McEwan, based on the novel by Ian McEwan (On Chesil Beach)
Semi Chellas, based on the book by Lisa Klein (Ophelia)
Arash Amel, based on the magazine article by Marie Brenner (A Private War)
Zak Penn, Ernest Cline, based on the novel by Ernest Cline (Ready Player One)
Stephen Karam, based on the play by Anton Chekhov (The Seagull)
Jacques Audiard, based on the novel by Patrick Dewitt (The Sisters Brothers)
David Kajganich, based on characters created by Dario Argento, Daria Nicolodi (Suspiria)
Shaun Grant, based on the novel by Peter Carey (The True History of the Kelly Gang)
Chanya Button, based on the play by Eileen Atkins (Vita and Virginia)
David Hare, based on the book by Julie Kavanagh (The White Crow)
Jane Anderson, based on the novel by Meg Wolitzer (The Wife)
Paul Dano, Zoe Kazan, based on the novel by Richard Ford (Wildlife)

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