Friday, November 09, 2018

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (91st)

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. ALFONSO CUARÓN (ROMA)

Oscar Record: 6 nominations (as director, writer, producer, editor) with wins for directing and editing Gravity

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

2. NICK VALLELONGA, BRIAN HAYES CURRIE, PETER FARRELLY (GREEN BOOK)

Oscar Records: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

LIKELY

3. DEBORAH DAVIS, TONY MCNAMARA (THE FAVOURITE)

Oscar Records: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

4. BO BURNHAM (EIGHTH GRADE)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

MAYBE 

5. ADAM MCKAY (VICE)

Oscar Record: 2 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for writing The Big Short

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

POSSIBLE

6. Paul Schrader (First Reformed)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

7. Jean-Claude Carrière, Julian Schnabel (At Eternity's Gate)

Oscar Records:
Carrière: 4 nominations (as writer and for live action short), with an Honorary Award
Schnabel: 1 nomination (as director), no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

8. Phil Hay, Matt Manfredi (Destroyer)

Oscar Records: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

9. Caroline Thompson, Robert Zemeckis (Welcome to Marwen)

Oscar Records:
Thompson: No nomination
Zemeckis: 2 nominations (as director, writer), with a win for directing Forrest Gump

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10. Ari Aster (Hereditary)

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

Other Contenders:
Peter Hedges (Ben is Back)
Ian McEwan (The Children Act)
Richard Glatzer, Rebecca Lenkiewicz, Wash Westmoreland (Colette)
Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Kunichi Nomura, Jason Schwartzman (Isle of Dogs)
Nick Schenk (The Mule)
Paul Greengrass, Åsne Seierstad (22 July)
Daniel Stiepleman (On the Basis of Sex)
Mike Leigh (Peterloo)
Diablo Cody (Tully)

"Never Too Early" Predictions (March 2018)
1. Adam McKay (Backseat/Vice)
2. Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Kunichi Nomura, Jason Schwartzman (Isle of Dogs)
3. Diablo Cody (Tully)
4. Daniel Stiepleman (On the Basis of Sex)
5. Oja Kodar, Orson Welles (The Other Side of the Wind)
6. Tamara Jenkins (Private Life)
7. Caroline Thompson, Robert Zemeckis (The Women of Marwen)
8. Ari Aster (Hereditary)
9. Scott Z. Burns (The Mercy)
10. Jonathan Bernstein, James Greer (Unsane)

August Predictions
1. Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
2. Bo Burnham (Eighth Grade)
3. Adam McKay (Backseat/Vice)
4. Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara (The Favourite)
5. Paul Schrader (First Reformed)
6. Jean-Claude Carrière, Julian Schnabel (At Eternity's Gate)
7. Oja Kodar, Orson Welles (The Other Side of the Wind)
8. Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Kunichi Nomura, Jason Schwartzman (Isle of Dogs)
9. Diablo Cody (Tully)
10. Daniel Stiepleman (On the Basis of Sex)

September Predictions
1. Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
2. Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara (The Favourite)
3. Bo Burnham (Eighth Grade)
4. Adam McKay (Backseat/Vice)
5. Paul Schrader (First Reformed)
6. Jean-Claude Carrière, Julian Schnabel (At Eternity's Gate)
7. Phil Hay, Matt Manfredi (Destroyer)
8. Caroline Thompson, Robert Zemeckis (Welcome to Marwen)
9. Ari Aster (Hereditary)
10. Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Kunichi Nomura, Jason Schwartzman (Isle of Dogs)

October Predictions
1. Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
2. Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly (Green Book)
3. Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara (The Favourite)
4. Bo Burnham (Eighth Grade)
5. Adam McKay (Vice)
6. Paul Schrader (First Reformed)
7. Jean-Claude Carrière, Julian Schnabel (At Eternity's Gate)
8. Phil Hay, Matt Manfredi (Destroyer)
9. Caroline Thompson, Robert Zemeckis (Welcome to Marwen)
10. Ari Aster (Hereditary)

No comments: