Wednesday, December 20, 2017

BEST ACTRESS 2018

DECEMBER PREDICTIONS

MOST LIKELY

1. FRANCES MCDORMAND (THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI)

Oscar Record:
4 nominations, with a win for Fargo

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actress, Boston Online Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Detroit Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actress, Toronto Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, St. Louis Film Critics Association

Win, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Drama, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Best Female Lead, Film Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Leading Actress, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)

2. SAOIRSE RONAN (LADY BIRD)

Oscar Record:
2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actress, New York Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, Indiana Film Journalists Association
Win, Best Actress, Gotham Independent Film Awards

Win, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Musical or Comedy, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Best Female Lead, Film Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Leading Actress, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)

LIKELY

3. SALLY HAWKINS (THE SHAPE OF WATER)

Oscar Record:
1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actress, Los Angeles Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Boston Society of Film Critics
Win, Best Actress, Kansas City Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, Philadelphia Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, Atlanta Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Nevada Film Critics Society
Win, Best Actress, Southeastern Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, Utah Film Critics Association
Win, Best Actress, National Society of Film Critics
Nomination, Best Actress, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Drama, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Leading Actress, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)

4. MARGOT ROBBIE (I, TONYA)

Oscar Record:
No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actress, New York Film Critics Online
Win, Best Actress, San Francisco Film Critics Circle
Win, Best Actress, Florida Film Critics Circle
Nomination, Best Actress, Gotham Independent Film Awards
Nomination, Best Female Lead, Film Independent Spirit Awards
Nomination, Best Actress, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Musical or Comedy, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild
Nomination, Leading Actress, British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA)

POSSIBLE

5. MERYL STREEP (THE POST)

Oscar Record:
20 nominations, with wins for Kramer vs. Kramer, Sophie's Choice, Iron Lady

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Win, Best Actress, National Board of Review
Nomination, Best Actress, Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics' Choice Awards)
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Drama, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)

6. Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul)

Oscar Record:
7 nominations, with a win for Shakespeare In Love

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Musical or Comedy, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)
Nomination, Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role, Screen Actors Guild


7. Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)

Oscar Record:
2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Actress, Broadcast Film Critics Association
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Drama, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)

8. Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World)


Oscar Record:
4 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Drama, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)

9. Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)

Oscar Record:
2 nominations, with a win for La La Land

Pre-Oscar Citations:
Nomination, Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Musical or Comedy, Hollywood Foreign Press Association (Golden Globe Awards)

10. Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel)

Oscar Record:
7 nominations, with a win for The Reader

Pre-Oscar Citations:
None

10 comments:

Andrew R. said...

Swank's performance in Amelia is not that good. She won't get nominated at all.

Ron Cruz said...

I'm really convinced that she's not going to get nominated, but I'm not ready to complete dismiss the possibility just yet, if only because many said the same thing about Blanchett's perf in "Elizabeth: The Golden Age" two years ago. But yeah, I suppose even Michelle Monaghan has a stronger chance now to get a slot.

Ponyboy said...

I would say Carey Mulligan is the front runner now. A third one for Streep? Hard to say.

Ron Cruz said...

I would have to disagree. Streep is the clear front-runner now, with Bullock nipping at her heels.

Ponyboy said...

mhm, things changed after yesterday. But for the Oscars, still don't think Bullock would have a chance.

The race is getting more interesting and unpredictable. Maybe there will be more surprises in Golden Globes. Bullock may defeat Mulligan again.

Andrew R. said...

WILL WIN: Sandra Bullock
SHOULD WIN: Carey Mulligan, though a win for Sibide or Streep is almost as good

SNUBBED: Abbie Cornish, Tilda Swinton

ana said...

No one can beat Cate Blanchett, not even Meryl, as much as I love her!
Blanchett's performance is beyond analysis, I can't even find words to describe her work in Blue Jasmine. On the other hand, I can't believe Sandra Bullock is even in the list of possible nominees!!

deepak sharma said...

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deepak sharma said...

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