Wednesday, April 29, 2020

BEST ACTRESS (93rd)

MOST LIKELY

1. FRANCES MCDORMAND (NOMADLAND)

Role: A woman who loses everything in the Great Recession and becomes a van-dwelling nomad

Oscar Record: 5 nominations, with wins for Fargo and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

LIKELY

2. AMY ADAMS (HILLBILLY ELEGY)

Role: Bev Vance, mother of author J.D. Vance

Oscar Record: 6 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

MAYBE

3. JESSICA CHASTAIN (THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE)

Role: Tammy Faye Bakker, the televangelist

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

4. JENNIFER HUDSON (RESPECT)

Role: Aretha Franklin

Oscar Record: 1 nomination and win for Dreamgirls

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

5. KATE WINSLET (AMMONITE)

Role: Mary Anning, an English fossil collector and paleontologist

Oscar Record: 7 nominations, with a win for The Reader

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

6. Marion Cotillard (Annette)

Role: Ann, an opera singer whose 2-year-old daughter has a surprising gift

Oscar Record: 2 nominations, with a win for La Vie en Rose

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

7. Rashida Jones (On the Rocks)

Role: Laura, a young mother who reconnects with her playboy father

Oscar Record: No nomination

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

8. Toni Collette (Dream Horse)

Role: Jan Vokes, a small-town Welsh bartender who breeds the race horse Dream Alliance

Oscar Record: 1 nomination, no win

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

9. Jennifer Lawrence (Untitled Lila Neugebauer project)

Role: A US soldier who suffers a traumatic brain injury while fighting in Afghanistan

Oscar Record: 4 nominations, with a win for Silver Linings Playbook

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

10. Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)

Role: Ma Rainey, "Mother of the Blues"

Oscar Record: 3 nominations, with a win for Fences

Pre-Oscar Citations: None

Other Contenders:
Amy Adams (The Woman in the Window)
Emily Blunt (A Quiet Place: Part II)
Abigail Breslin (Stillwater)
Alison Brie (Horse Girl)
Carrie Coon (The Nest)
Ana De Armas (Blonde)
Virginie Efira (Benedetta)
Beanie Feldstein (How To Build a Girl)
Jodie Foster (Prisoner 760)
Anne Hathaway (The Last Thing He Wanted)
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)
Janelle Monáe (Antebellum)
Julianne Moore (The Glorias)
Elisabeth Moss (The Invisible Man)
Elisabeth Moss (Shirley)
Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)
Ruth Negga (Passing)
Michelle Pfeiffer (French Exit)
Rosamund Pike (Radioactive)
Andrea Riseborough (Luxor)
Margot Robbie (Birds of Prey)
Saoirse Ronan (The French Dispatch)
Amy Ryan (Lost Girls)
Léa Seydoux (On a Half Clear Morning)
Meryl Streep (Let Them All Talk)
Tilda Swinton (Memoria)
Mia Wasikowska (Bergman Island)

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

Swank's performance in Amelia is not that good. She won't get nominated at all.

evermoon said...

I'm really convinced that she's not going to get nominated, but I'm not ready to complete dismiss the possibility just yet, if only because many said the same thing about Blanchett's perf in "Elizabeth: The Golden Age" two years ago. But yeah, I suppose even Michelle Monaghan has a stronger chance now to get a slot.

Ponyboy said...

I would say Carey Mulligan is the front runner now. A third one for Streep? Hard to say.

evermoon said...

I would have to disagree. Streep is the clear front-runner now, with Bullock nipping at her heels.

Ponyboy said...

mhm, things changed after yesterday. But for the Oscars, still don't think Bullock would have a chance.

The race is getting more interesting and unpredictable. Maybe there will be more surprises in Golden Globes. Bullock may defeat Mulligan again.

Andrew R. said...

WILL WIN: Sandra Bullock
SHOULD WIN: Carey Mulligan, though a win for Sibide or Streep is almost as good

SNUBBED: Abbie Cornish, Tilda Swinton

ana said...

No one can beat Cate Blanchett, not even Meryl, as much as I love her!
Blanchett's performance is beyond analysis, I can't even find words to describe her work in Blue Jasmine. On the other hand, I can't believe Sandra Bullock is even in the list of possible nominees!!

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dk said...

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